Benchmarking of public health surveillance of COVID-19 in Colombia: First semester
Abstract
Introduction: Public health surveillance together with good sanitary decisions is essential for the proper management of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
Objective: To compare the performance of Colombian departments based on the quality of the data and to build the national ranking.
Materials and methods: We analyzed the accumulated cases published between March 6 and September 1, 2020, by the Instituto Nacional de Salud. To achieve comparability, the analyses considered the day the first case was diagnosed as the first analysis date for each department. The fulfillment of Benford’s law was assessed with p-values in the log-likelihood ratio or chi-square tests. The analysis was completed with the lethality observed in each department and then the performance ranking was established.
Results: Bogotá and Valle del Cauca had optimal public health surveillance performance all along. The data suggest that Antioquia, Nariño, and Tolima had good containment and adequate public health surveillance after the economic opening beginning on June 1, 2020.
Conclusion: We obtained the ranking of the departments regarding the quality of public health surveillance data. The best five departments can be case studies to identify the elements associated with good performance.
Downloads
References
Sánchez-Gómez JS. Estado de excepción por coronavirus en Colombia: entre la colaboración armónica y la descentralización. Revista Política, Globalidad y Ciudadanía. 2020;6:188-206.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Quarantine and isolation. Fecha de consulta: 30
de enero de 2020. Disponible en: https://www.cdc.gov/quarantine/index.html
Ramírez JD, Flórez C, Muñoz M, Hernández C, Castillo A, Gómez S, et al. The arrival and spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Colombia. J Med Virol. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.26393
Gómez-Ríos D, Ramírez-Malule D, Ramírez-Malule H. The effect of uncontrolled travelers and social distancing on the spread of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Colombia. Travel Med Infect Dis. 2020;35:101699. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101699
De la Hoz-Restrepo F, Alvis-Zakzuk NJ, De la Hoz-Gómez JF, De la Hoz-Gómez A, Gómez del Corral L, Alvis-Guzmán N. Is Colombia an example of successful containment of the COVID-19 2020 pandemic? A critical analysis of the epidemiological data. March to July, 2020. Int J Infect Dis. 2020;99:522-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.08.017
Idrovo AJ, Manrique-Hernández EF, Nieves-Cuervo GM. Crónica de una pandemia anunciada: caso Santander (Parte 1). Salud UIS. 2020;52:225-38. http://dx.doi.org/10.18273/revsal.v52n3-2020005
Idrovo AJ, Fernández-Niño JA, Bojórquez-Chapela I, Moreno-Montoya J. Performance of public health surveillance systems during the influenza A(H1N1) pandemic in the Americas: Testing a new method based on Benford’s Law. Epidemiol Infect. 2011;139:1827-34. https://doi.org/10.1017/S095026881100015X
Gómez-Camponovo M, Moreno J, Idrovo AJ, Páez M, Achkar M. Monitoring the Paraguayan epidemiological dengue surveillance system (2009-2011) using the Benford’s law. Biomédica. 2016;36:583-92. https://doi.org/10.7705/biomedica.v36i4.2731
Manrique-Hernández EF, Fernández-Niño JA, Idrovo AJ. Global performance of epidemiologic surveillance of Zika virus: Rapid assessment of an ongoing epidemic. Public Health. 2017;143:14-6. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-016-0177-7
Idrovo AJ, Manrique-Hernández EF. Data quality of Chinese surveillance of COVID-19: Objective analysis based on WHO´s situation reports. Asia Pac J Public Health. 2020;32:165-7. https://doi.org/10.1177/1010539520927265
Manrique-Hernández EF, Moreno-Montoya J, Hurtado-Ortiz A, Prieto-Alvarado FE, Idrovo AJ. Desempeño del sistema de vigilancia colombiano durante la pandemia de COVID-19: evaluación rápida de los primeros 50 días. Biomédica 2020;40(Supl.2):96-103. https://doi.org/10.7705/biomedica.5582
Ettorchi-Tardy A, Levif M, Michel P. Benchmarking: A method for continuous quality improvement in health. Health Policy. 2012;7:e101-19.
Benford F. The law of anomalous numbers. Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society. 1938;78:551-72.
Hill TP. The first digit phenomenon. American Scientist. 1998;86:358-63.
Formann AK. The Newcomb-Benford Law in its relation to some common distributions. PLoS One. 2010;5:e10541. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0010541
Diekmann A. Not the first digit! Using Benford’s law to detect fraudulent scientific data. J Appl Stat. 2007;34:321-9. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664760601004940
Woolf B. The log likelihood ratio test (the G-test). Ann Hum Genet. 1957;21:397-409. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-1809.1972.tb00293.x
Lesperance M, Reed WJ, Stephens MA, Tsao C, Wilton B. Assessing conformance with Benford’s law: Goodness-of-fit tests and simultaneous confidence intervals. PLoS One. 2016;11:e0151235. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0151235
Zhang J. Testing case number of coronavirus disease 2019 in China with Newcomb-Benford law. arXiv:2002.05695
Koch C, Okamura K. Benford’s law and COVID-19 reporting. Fecha de consulta: 28 de abril de 2020. Disponible en: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3586413
Balashov VS, Yan Y, Zhu X. Are less developed countries more likely to manipulate data during pandemics? Evidence from Newcomb-Benford law. arXiv:2007.14841
Lee KB, Han S, Jeong Y. COVID-19, flattening the curve, and Benford’s law. Physica A. 2020;559:125090. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2020.125090
German RR, Lee LM, Horan JM, Milstein RL, Pertowski CA, Waller MN, Guidelines Working Group Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Updated guidelines for evaluating public health surveillance systems: Recommendations from the Guidelines Working Group. MMWR Recomm Rep. 2001;50:1-35.
Vecino A. Tres indicadores para calificar alcaldes en el manejo de la pandemia. La Silla Vacía. Fecha de consulta: 16 de agosto 2020. Disponible en: https://lasillavacia.com/sillallena/red-social/tres-indicadores-calificar-alcaldes-manejo-de-la-pandemia-76740
Some similar items:
- Edgar F. Manrique-Hernández, José Moreno-Montoya, Alexandra Hurtado-Ortiz, Franklyn E. Prieto-Alvarado, Álvaro J. Idrovo, Performance of the Colombian surveillance system during the COVID-19 pandemic: A rapid evaluation of the first 50 days , Biomedica: Vol. 40 No. Supl. 2 (2020): SARS-CoV-2 y COVID-19
- Patricia Escandón, Shawn R. Lockhart, Nancy A. Chow, Tom M. Chiller, Candida auris: a global pathogen that has taken root in Colombia , Biomedica: Vol. 43 No. Sp. 1 (2023): Agosto, Micología médica
- Zulma M. Cucunubá, Latin American scientific research prorities for COVID-19 prevention and control , Biomedica: Vol. 40 No. Supl. 2 (2020): SARS-CoV-2 y COVID-19
- Carlos Arturo Cassiani-Miranda, María Camila Vargas-Hernández, Eduard Pérez-Anibal, Mariana Isabel Herazo-Bustos, Mauricio Hernández-Carrillo, Reliability and dimensionality of PHQ-9 in screening depression symptoms among health science students in Cartagena, 2014 , Biomedica: Vol. 37 No. Sup.1 (2017): Suplemento 1, Alteraciones del sistema nervioso
- Larry Niño, Use of the function semivariogram and kriging estimation in the spacial analysis of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) distributions , Biomedica: Vol. 28 No. 4 (2008)
- Raúl Murillo, Ricardo Cendales, Carolina Wiesner, Marion Piñeros, Sandra Tovar, Effectiveness of cytology-based cervical cancer screening in the Colombian health system , Biomedica: Vol. 29 No. 3 (2009)
- Sandra Lorena Girón, Julio César Mateus, Fabián Méndez, Impact of an open waste disposal site on the occurrence of respiratory symptoms and on health care costs of children , Biomedica: Vol. 29 No. 3 (2009)
- Andrés Páez, Gloria Rey, Carlos Agudelo, Alvaro Dulce, Edgar Parra, Hernando Díaz-Granados, Damaris Heredia, Luis Polo, Outbreak of urban rabies transmitted by dogs in Santa Marta, northern Colombia , Biomedica: Vol. 29 No. 3 (2009)
- Patricia Escobar, Katherine Paola Luna, Indira Paola Hernández, César Mauricio Rueda, María Magdalena Zorro, Simon L. Croft, In vitro susceptibility of Trypanosoma cruzi strains from Santander, Colombia, to hexadecylphosphocholine (miltefosine), nifurtimox and benznidazole , Biomedica: Vol. 29 No. 3 (2009)
- Mauricio Beltrán, María Cristina Navas, María Patricia Arbeláez, Jorge Donado, Sergio Jaramillo, Fernando De la Hoz, Cecilia Estrada, Lucía del Pilar Cortés, Amalia de Maldonado, Gloria Rey, Seroprevalence of hepatitis B virus and human immunodeficiency virus infection in a population of multiply-transfused patients in Colombia , Biomedica: Vol. 29 No. 2 (2009)

Article metrics | |
---|---|
Abstract views | |
Galley vies | |
PDF Views | |
HTML views | |
Other views |